📚 Part of: Ancient Indian History & Colonial Era Mcqs

What was the reported value of the correlation coefficient for international trade participation by a state & its prosperity in the Economic Survey of 2017-18?

Category: Miscellaneous Indian Gk

Correct Answer: B) 0.70.

Exam Relevance: UPSC Civil Services, IAS Prelims, IAS Mains, State PSC Exams

Difficulty: Moderate

Concept notes:

The correlation coefficient measures the strength and direction of the relationship between two variables. In the context of the Economic Survey 2017-18, the correlation coefficient of 0.70 indicates a strong positive relationship between a state's participation in international trade and its prosperity. This suggests that higher levels of international trade are associated with higher levels of prosperity.

Common Mistakes:
  • Confusing correlation with causation, assuming that international trade directly causes prosperity.
  • Misinterpreting the magnitude of the correlation coefficient, thinking that a value of 0.70 is weak or moderate rather than strong.
  • Not understanding the context of the Economic Survey and the specific data it presents.
Explanation:

The correlation coefficient is a statistical measure that quantifies the strength and direction of the relationship between two variables. In the context of the Economic Survey 2017-18, the correlation coefficient was used to assess the relationship between a state's participation in international trade and its prosperity.

The reported value of the correlation coefficient for international trade participation by a state and its prosperity in the Economic Survey of 2017-18 was 0.70. This value indicates a strong positive relationship between the two variables. A correlation coefficient ranges from -1 to +1, where:

- A value of +1 indicates a perfect positive correlation, meaning that as one variable increases, the other variable also increases.

- A value of -1 indicates a perfect negative correlation, meaning that as one variable increases, the other variable decreases.

- A value of 0 indicates no correlation, meaning that there is no relationship between the two variables.

In this case, a correlation coefficient of 0.70 suggests that there is a strong positive association between a state's participation in international trade and its prosperity. This means that states with higher levels of international trade tend to have higher levels of prosperity, and vice versa. However, it is important to note that correlation does not imply causation. While the data shows a strong relationship, it does not necessarily mean that international trade directly causes prosperity. Other factors could be influencing both variables.

Understanding the correlation coefficient is crucial for interpreting economic data and making informed decisions. In the context of the Economic Survey, this information can help policymakers and stakeholders understand the potential benefits of increasing international trade for a state's economic well-being. It also highlights the importance of fostering an environment that supports international trade to enhance prosperity.

The Economic Survey is an annual publication by the Ministry of Finance, Government of India, which provides a detailed analysis of the country's economic performance and policies. The survey often includes various statistical analyses and indicators to assess different aspects of the economy, including international trade and its impact on prosperity. The reported correlation coefficient of 0.70 is a key finding that underscores the significance of international trade in contributing to a state's economic prosperity.

Option Analysis:
  • Option A: This option is incorrect. A correlation coefficient of 0.38 would indicate a weak positive relationship between international trade participation and state prosperity. The Economic Survey 2017-18 reported a stronger relationship, as indicated by a higher correlation coefficient.
  • Option B: This option is correct. The Economic Survey 2017-18 reported a correlation coefficient of 0.70, indicating a strong positive relationship between a state's participation in international trade and its prosperity. This value suggests that as international trade increases, prosperity tends to increase as well, with a significant degree of association.
  • Option C: This option is incorrect. A correlation coefficient of -0.46 would indicate a moderate negative relationship, which is contrary to the findings of the Economic Survey 2017-18. The survey found a positive relationship, not a negative one.
  • Option D: This option is incorrect. A correlation coefficient of 0.98 would indicate an extremely strong positive relationship, which is higher than the reported value of 0.70 in the Economic Survey 2017-18. While the relationship is strong, it is not as strong as this option suggests.
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