Part of: Miscellaneous Indian Gk set 193

Out of 15 students studying in a class, 7 are from Maharashtra, 5 from Karnataka and 3 from Goa. Four students are to be selected at random. What are the chances that at least one is from Karnataka?Easier than you think

Category: Miscellaneous Indian Gk

Hint: Calculate the probability of the complementary event (no students from Karnataka) and subtract

Correct Answer: C) 11/13

Exam Relevance: CAT, GMAT, GRE, Bank PO, SSC

Difficulty: Moderate

Explanations:

The problem involves calculating the probability of selecting at least one student from Karnataka when four students are chosen at random from a class of 15 students, where 7 are from Maharashtra, 5 from Karnataka, and 3 from Goa. To solve this, we use the concept of complementary events. The complementary event to "at least one student from Karnataka" is "no students from Karnataka."

First, we calculate the total number of ways to select 4 students out of 15. This is given by the combination formula \( \binom{n}{r} = \frac{n!}{r!(n-r)!} \), where \( n \) is the total number of items, and \( r \) is the number of items to choose. Here, \( n = 15 \) and \( r = 4 \): \[ \binom{15}{4} = \frac{15!}{4!(15-4)!} = \frac{15!}{4! \cdot 11!} = \frac{15 \times 14 \times 13 \times 12}{4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} = 1365 \]

Next, we calculate the number of ways to select 4 students from the 10 students who are not from Karnataka (7 from Maharashtra and 3 from Goa). Here, \( n = 10 \) and \( r = 4 \): \[ \binom{10}{4} = \frac{10!}{4!(10-4)!} = \frac{10!}{4! \cdot 6!} = \frac{10 \times 9 \times 8 \times 7}{4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} = 210 \]

The probability of selecting no students from Karnataka is the ratio of the number of ways to select 4 students from the 10 non-Karnataka students to the total number of ways to select 4 students from 15: \[ P(\text{no students from Karnataka}) = \frac{\binom{10}{4}}{\binom{15}{4}} = \frac{210}{1365} = \frac{2}{13} \]

The probability of selecting at least one student from Karnataka is the complement of the above probability: \[ P(\text{at least one student from Karnataka}) = 1 - P(\text{no students from Karnataka}) = 1 - \frac{2}{13} = \frac{13}{13} - \frac{2}{13} = \frac{11}{13} \]

Thus, the probability that at least one student is from Karnataka is \( \frac{11}{13} \). This approach leverages the complementary event to simplify the calculation, making it easier to find the desired probability.

Option Analysis:
  • Option A: Incorrect. This option overestimates the probability of selecting at least one student from Karnataka. The correct approach involves calculating the complementary event and subtracting it from 1.
  • Option B: Incorrect. This option underestimates the probability of selecting at least one student from Karnataka. The probability of selecting at least one student from Karnataka is much higher than 1/15.
  • Option C: Correct. The probability of selecting at least one student from Karnataka is calculated by finding the probability of the complementary event (no students from Karnataka) and subtracting it from 1. This results in 11/13.
  • Option D: Incorrect. This option underestimates the probability of selecting at least one student from Karnataka. The probability of selecting at least one student from Karnataka is much higher than 4/13.
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